
Earlier this year, Riot paused its planned 600 megawatt expansion for Bitcoin mining to evaluate converting that same capacity into AI and HPC data center use. Management hired a senior data center executive to lead the new division, engaged consultants to assess power and cooling suitability, and began construction on two buildings totaling approximately 112 megawatts of IT capacity. This is not speculation; it is active development backed by land, power, and infrastructure that are already in place.
The timing of this move is significant. AI workloads and large language models require enormous power density, and data center operators with access to cheap, scalable energy have become strategic assets. Traditional data center REITs such as Equinix (EQIX) and Digital Realty (DLR) trade at far higher valuation multiples because of their recurring revenue models and long term tenant contracts. Riot is attempting to bridge that gap by repurposing part of its mining infrastructure into AI ready hosting capacity, potentially converting volatile crypto linked income into stable infrastructure revenue.
From a technical standpoint, Riot’s stock has shown notable volatility but also signs of accumulation and bullish inflection. The price has risen over 100% in the past year, from a 52 week low near $6.20 to recent highs approaching $23.90. After a pullback into the $19–$20 range, the stock is currently testing support near its 50 day moving average, while maintaining a rising 200 day trend, a configuration that often precedes continuation moves when momentum returns. [reference attached image]
Financially, Riot remains in a strong position relative to peers. First quarter 2025 revenue reached $161 million, nearly double year over year growth. The balance sheet carries modest leverage, and the company continues to expand its power infrastructure without taking on excessive debt. Bitcoin mining remains the primary revenue driver today, but the data center pivot provides long term optionality for recurring revenue and business model diversification.
Analyst consensus price targets currently sit around $23–$25, which lines up with short term resistance levels. However, the long term valuation potential could be far greater if Riot successfully transitions from a mining company to an infrastructure platform. A single large scale AI tenant or power lease agreement could unlock a market re rating toward data center multiples, representing a meaningful shift in how investors view its earnings stability and growth prospects.
To understand the upside potential, it helps to compare Riot to the current market leaders. Equinix (EQIX) trades at roughly 80 times earnings, and Digital Realty (DLR) trades at about 60 times earnings. Both are valued based on stable recurring revenue from hosting tenants, not on volatile commodity cycles. Riot currently trades closer to 10–12 times forward earnings, largely because it is still viewed as a Bitcoin miner. If Riot can convert just part of its 1 gigawatt power footprint into contracted AI hosting, it could justify a five to seven times multiple expansion over time. That would imply a potential valuation of $40 billion to $55 billion, roughly a 7x upside from its current $8 billion market capitalization if the market begins valuing Riot as an infrastructure company rather than a crypto proxy.
In the near term, investors should watch for confirmation of AI or enterprise customer agreements, updates on the Corsicana build out timeline, and continued strength in Bitcoin pricing, which still impacts Riot’s cash flow. If the company delivers tangible progress on the AI front, the stock could break out of its current consolidation range and begin a sustained uptrend supported by both narrative and fundamentals.
Riot Platforms is no longer just a Bitcoin miner chasing block rewards. It is evolving into an energy and infrastructure company with a significant role in powering the next generation of compute demand. The transformation is still in the early stages, but the foundation is being built, and the market is starting to take notice. For long term investors, this is the type of inflection point opportunity that can reshape valuation multiples and potentially deliver exponential returns.
I’ve also included my current holdings with Riot as of Nov 1, 2025.
Not financial advice. Do your own research. Happy trading.
